CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-05-19T00:00:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-05-19T00:00ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/38970/-1
CME Note: Large, bright CME first seen in the NW by SOHO LASCO C2 beginning at 2025-05-19T00:00Z as well as by SOHO LASCO C3, STEREO A COR2, and GOES CCOR-1 in later frames. The source of this event is a large filament eruption centered at approximately N50E10 with a gradual liftoff beginning at approximately 2025-05-18T19:00Z. This filament can be seen exhibiting some Northwestern deflection in SDO AIA and GOES SUVI 304, along with dimming visible in SDO AIA 193 and 211, field line opening visible in SDO AIA 171 and post eruptive arcades visible in SDO AIA 131 and 193.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-05-23T06:45Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 54.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 80.45 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-05-19T22:18Z
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